Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 14.075511 16.441411 19.022322 22.038915 25.459662 29.209738 33.623208
2025-04-27 10.794646 14.204128 18.304699 23.558482 30.065500 37.811638 47.676980
2025-05-04 8.524233 12.344030 17.306875 24.132048 33.164774 44.587990 59.985496
2025-05-11 6.805343 10.713068 16.138732 24.058938 35.130468 49.835304 70.573116
2025-05-18 5.465981 9.290424 14.930119 23.611902 36.343616 53.983126 79.835214
2025-05-25 4.440821 8.112444 13.838563 23.092058 37.260318 57.640658 88.535607
2025-06-01 3.637936 7.121342 12.849945 22.536697 37.968857 60.937418 96.829997
2025-06-08 2.893984 6.079028 11.605006 21.379775 37.570365 62.477938 102.552897
2025-06-15 2.622507 5.829820 11.636309 22.276740 40.441125 69.103340 116.254620
2025-06-22 2.323932 5.470841 11.416215 22.699400 42.539542 74.627911 128.558978
2025-06-29 1.963916 4.918030 10.759138 22.261544 43.121688 77.732129 137.197242
2025-07-06 1.620897 4.329945 9.944805 21.426896 42.910603 79.479002 143.699459
2025-07-13 1.504896 4.248029 10.164384 22.650493 46.623964 88.295571 162.796453
2025-07-20 1.403741 4.187975 10.435309 24.035181 50.812885 98.313934 184.708524
2025-07-27 1.246267 3.953984 10.299858 24.588317 53.496031 105.902418 202.977521
2025-08-03 1.067694 3.620126 9.886775 24.508714 54.943054 111.375832 217.899223
2025-08-10 0.894962 3.254593 9.335372 24.053555 55.587243 115.406886 230.482445
2025-08-17 0.746753 2.916538 8.787412 23.525161 56.012578 119.028815 242.502470
2025-08-24 0.621229 2.609126 8.257916 22.960782 56.290961 122.360934 254.145534
2025-08-31 0.492816 2.247656 7.515195 21.785026 55.138456 122.829981 260.467616
2025-09-07 0.457812 2.202506 7.626497 22.696601 58.602831 132.552136 284.714277
2025-09-14 0.410658 2.097520 7.549850 23.126116 61.024118 140.329060 305.626059
2025-09-21 0.345017 1.896505 7.153450 22.681157 61.414475 144.008666 318.789945